Irmagerd, hererkern!!! Irma is coming. We are prepared, but it’s going to be bad in South Florida. To make matters worse, our news stations have gone full histrionics so we are getting wall to wall hurricane coverage instead of football. Color me unamused. It’s moving 16 miles an hour and is the size of Texas. We get it.
We missed opening weekend for Bet the Board because I was on vacation and was focused on nature. I’m not sorry. But, in there spirit of fairness, I’ll go ahead and count my picks that I would have made. So, we are 12-0!
24-0, here we come. This year I’ve kept the picks bold, but changed the team order to clear up the confusion. The points follow the pick, and the home team is on the right.
Let’s Bet the Board!
Auburn vs. Clemson -5.5
Clemson lost the farm to graduation and the NFL in the offseason. Auburn, meanwhile, has been steadily trying to build and return to the glory days of Malzahn–you remember, when he had Cam Newton. Good times. On paper, Auburn actually appears to be the more experienced team, but Clemson has outperformed in recruiting and coaching for years. The Tigers of the ACC also have talent returning and they get to host Auburn. I think the home team wins this game wherever it’s played. And I just don’t see a whole lot of field goals happening. Lay the points on Clemson this week, but don’t sleep on Auburn this season.
Fresno +43 vs. Alabama (Under 53)
Alabama may cover this spread. They may not mean to. Fresno may be that bad. But, I just cannot turn down over 40 points the second week of the season. That said, there’s a reason this line is huge.
I double dipped on this one and took the under. Alabama will suffocate Fresno. So, if you take that as a given and expect a Fresno cover, the under is a no-brainer. We have to have something that keeps this game entertaining.
Georgia+5 vs. Notre Dame
Eason is hurt which doesn’t help the Bulldogs’ chances, but I’m bearish on Notre Dame this season. Look to the Dawgs to move the ball on the ground with an inexperienced signal caller under center. Take the points here. Five is awful generous to a team with the size and speed of Georgia.
Nebraska +13 vs. Oregon
Neither of these teams brings a whole lot to the table anymore. I don’t think the Ducks can be great by Big Red, but I do think they make it interesting. Since I can’t see it being a runaway, I’ll take the points here. Two touchdowns is an awful lot to cover for a team that has struggled to get the offense going. Maybe they figure it out, but I just don’t think Oregon can cover.
S. Carolina vs. Mizzou (Under 71)
This is a money line pick. I’m bewildered by the spread here. I just could not believe Carolina was a dog to Mizzou. Both these teams are terrible and this is an evenly matched pillow fight. Since the payoff is better picking Carolina to win instead of cover, I went with that. This game seems to be a coin flip matchup.
This is another double dip pick. A total of 71 seems CRAZY high for these two impotent offenses. Couple that with Muschamp’s penchant for defense, and I don’t think this gets close. For a close game, both teams would have to score over 35 to go over. Not happening. Take the under.
Stanford vs. Southern Cal -5 (Under55)
Lay the points. Darnold is on the Heisman trail this year, so he’ll be dealing. I expect USC to still manage to break through, despite Stanford’s plans to stifle him. I think Southern Cal covers because I think they win by at least a touchdown.
I took the under here too because Stanford is a possession team that will try to slow the game down. They will have to in order to give the Trojans a game. As they will limit possessions, the under is an enticing play here.
TCU vs. Arkansas+3
Here is another neutral site coin flip game. This is another instance where taking the points is a solid move. Hometown dog by a field goal or less is a winning proposition for me most of the time.
Tulane vs. Navy -11.5
This is another odd line. Navy is a midmajor team, but they can light up the scoreboard with the triple option. I think they crush Tulane. I’ll lay the points. The midshipmen are going to run the Green Wave out of the stadium.
Wake Forest vs. Boston College (Under 45)
Bet. It. All. These teams have the bearings of a wounded bumblebee on offense and BC’s defense is usually pretty good. This combination of factors makes it nearly impossible to reach the total. Hit the under. Hit it hard.
That’s all of them this week folks. If I survive the storm, I’ll do a postmortem in next week’s BTB.